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Alehar - Corporate Finance Advisory

Debt Capacity

What is Debt Capacity?

Short answer: Debt capacity is the amount and structure of borrowing a company can reasonably support while paying interest and principal, maintaining liquidity and complying with covenants under credible scenarios. It is not a single leverage multiple or a lender commitment. Capacity depends on cash-flow amount and volatility, assets, existing claims, investment needs, maturity, currency and the proposed documentation.

Cash-flow capacity asks whether operations can fund debt service after tax, working capital and necessary capital expenditure. Asset capacity asks what collateral can support and recover. Covenant capacity tests contractual ratios and baskets. Liquidity capacity tests whether cash remains above minimum needs at every date. These constraints can point to different amounts, and the lowest often governs. A company with strong EBITDA but large seasonal working capital can have less capacity than a leverage multiple suggests. A company with valuable assets can borrow more against collateral but still face cash interest pressure.

How it works

Start with a monthly integrated forecast through maturity. Derive cash available for debt service after operating costs, tax, working-capital movement and maintenance investment. Add existing and proposed interest, fees, leases and principal by date. Calculate leverage, fixed-charge and debt-service ratios exactly as prospective lenders define them. Test downside revenue, margin, collections, rates and refinancing. Identify the debt amount that preserves the board's minimum cash and required covenant buffer in every period. Cross-check collateral and legal restrictions, then compare amortising, bullet and revolving structures rather than changing only the amount.

Debt capacity is the lowest supportable amount across cash service, covenant, collateral, liquidity and maturity constraints

Example

A company forecasts annual cash available for debt service of 1,500 in its base case and 1,100 in downside. Existing debt service is 300. The board requires at least 1.25x downside DSCR. Total permitted debt service is therefore 1,100 divided by 1.25, or 880. After the existing 300, only 580 remains for new debt service. A proposed five-year loan requires 160 interest and 500 principal annually, or 660, so it is too large despite passing the base case. Reducing annual principal to 400 lowers new service to 560 and brings total downside DSCR to about 1.28x.

Why it matters

Boards use debt-capacity analysis to choose financing for acquisitions, growth and distributions without creating an avoidable liquidity crisis. Lenders use it to size exposure and design amortisation, security and covenants. Investors use it to determine the equity cheque and test whether leverage improves returns without making the business fragile. The output should show the constraint and the sensitivity, not one unexplained maximum. For related planning, use Alehar’s Debt Capacity Calculator, then develop a detailed forecast using actual lender terms before committing.

Capacity is a judgement based on assumptions and can change with rates, performance, markets and documents. EBITDA adjustments accepted in a covenant may not produce cash. Undrawn facilities may be conditional, and refinancing is not guaranteed. Local law can limit guarantees, security, distributions and financial assistance. Tax deductibility and accounting treatment differ by jurisdiction and instrument. Lender underwriting may be more conservative than management analysis. Keep a buffer for forecast error and one-off cash needs, and obtain legal, tax and accounting advice on the proposed structure.

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Perspectives on corporate finance, fundraising, and M&A, from the Alehar team.