1. Rebuilding the debt position from the contracts up
We started with the debt, because every other question depended on it. We worked from the signed loan agreements, the restructuring documents and lender schedules, the company’s own loan tracker, and the payments showing in the bank records. From those we rebuilt the borrowing position one facility at a time, covering lender, balance, interest rate, repayment schedule and security. Every line carries a verification status, so it is always clear which figures come from a signed document and which come only from the company’s own records.
That gave the shareholders a single schedule of every loan, which they could challenge line by line. Where the contracts, the tracker and the actual payments disagreed, we listed the differences and took each one back to the company. Anything we could not back with a document was marked as an open question rather than treated as fact. That loan schedule became the starting point for everything that followed.
2. Tracing what the money actually did
At the same time we rebuilt the cash record. We pulled the bank statements into ledgers covering several years of activity, checked every running balance, and matched them line by line against the company’s own day-to-day payment records. We also put the company’s payment platform alongside the two bank accounts, so all three could be seen side by side each month. For receivables and payables, we checked each source and used the records kept at the time rather than summaries written later.
That meant what the company held and what it spent could be shown from records instead of argued about. We could measure debt service across all three accounts at once rather than one at a time. We could check collections against the sales the company believed it had made. And we could state the monthly cost of running the business with evidence behind it.
3. Turning the position into a decision the shareholders could make
After cleaning and establishing the debt and cash records, we built a month-by-month forecast of cash in and cash out, including the repayment schedule. Three things decided whether the company could repay: how much of the sales pipeline converted into real orders and when, whether the product could be bought locally at a lower cost and how soon, and how much room there was to renegotiate repayment terms with lenders. We tested the forecast under a different combination of assumptions for each of the three factors, which showed that the size of the debt was only part of the question.
Since the shareholders had different views, we did not tell them what to do. We showed them what would have to be true across the three factors for the debt to be repaid, and how realistic we thought that was. We presented the analysis to the full shareholder group, and by the end of the session the conversation had moved from the size of the debt to the drivers that decide whether it can be repaid.